According to an updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, Joe Biden has about a 1 in 3 chance of winning the election.
The New York Times-Siena College poll is an outlier, with Biden leading by 11 points. However, other polls show a much closer race, with Biden leading by an average of only 4 points. This model is updated every day and combines state and national polls to provide an up-to-date look at the race. The poll also shows that Biden is facing no viable competition for the Democratic nomination, while his predecessor in office, Donald Trump, easily saw off his challengers for the Republican nomination.
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